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Predictive Analytics of Maternal Health in Bangladesh: A Backward Stepwise Logistic Regression Approach

Students & Supervisors

Student Authors
Tanisha Fairooz
Bachelor of Science in Computer Science & Engineering, FST
Supervisors
Md. Mortuza Ahmmed
Associate Professor, Faculty, FST

Abstract

In Bangladesh, maternal health has been a top priority for the government. Through the analysis of selected variables from the most current Bangladesh Demographic and Health Survey (BDHS), this study explores the determinants impacting safe motherhood in the nation. This analysis made use of data from the BDHS, which contains details on women between the ages of 15 and 49. To accomplish the goals of the study, a stepwise logistic regression strategy working backward was used. The study's conclusions point to several important variables that raise Bangladeshi women's chances of becoming safe mothers. A 1.6-fold increase in the likelihood of safe motherhood was experienced by women who gave birth in hospitals, highlighting the vital role that trained medical personnel play during childbirth. Living in an urban area was also a significant predictor; women in urban areas were 1.4 times more likely to have safe parenting outcomes, probably because of improved access to healthcare and services. There were also observed regional variances, with women in Chittagong and Dhaka having 1.2 times and 1.7 times higher likelihood of safe motherhood, respectively, indicating inequalities in the quality and accessibility of healthcare. Cesarean deliveries are crucial for managing high-risk pregnancies since they are linked to a 2.1 times greater chance of healthy parenthood. The importance of knowledge and awareness in maternal health was highlighted by the fact that women with higher education levels were 1.6 times more likely to experience safe parenthood. Finally, obtaining prenatal care raised the chance of a safe delivery by 1.4 times, however this influence was not as strong as other factors. These data imply that safe motherhood rates in Bangladesh might be greatly raised by expanding access to healthcare, especially in rural regions, boosting hospital births, and supporting women's higher education. Bangladesh can significantly lower maternal mortality and guarantee better results for moms and their children by concentrating on these areas.

Keywords

BDHS; maternal health; odds ratio; logistic regression; ANC

Publication Details

  • Type of Publication: Conference
  • Conference Name: 3rd International Conference on Mathematical Analysis and Application in Modelling 2024 (ICMAAM-2024)
  • Date of Conference: 12/05/2024 - 12/07/2024
  • Venue: Chittagong University of Engineering and Technology, Chittagong, Bangladesh.
  • Organizer: Chittagong University of Engineering and Technology, Chittagong, Bangladesh.
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