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Forecasting Wind Energy Potential in Chattogram, Bangladesh: Statistical Modeling Incorporating Rayleigh and Weibull Distributions

Students & Supervisors

Student Authors
Mahin Montasir Afif
Bachelor of Science in Computer Science & Engineering, FST
K. M. Tahsin Kabir
Bachelor of Science in Computer Science & Engineering, FST
Abdullah Al Noman
Bachelor of Science in Computer Science & Engineering, FST
Md Emamul Arefin Islam
Bachelor of Science in Computer Science & Engineering, FST
Supervisors
Md. Mortuza Ahmmed
Associate Professor, Faculty, FST

Abstract

The purpose of this study is to investigate the wind energy capacity in Chattogram, Bangladesh, by using statistical modeling techniques that integrate Rayleigh and Weibull distributions. As the demand for renewable energy rises, wind power is becoming an attractive option for sustainable electricity generation in Bangladesh. Proper evaluation of wind energy potential is needed for effective planning and implementation. We collected historical wind speed data from diverse sources, including scholarly journals, publications, the World Bank, the Bangladesh Renewable Energy Agency (BREA), and the Bangladesh Bureau of Statistics (BBS), and analyzed it using statistical techniques based on Rayleigh and Weibull distributions. By utilizing the data this study aims to predict the potential of wind energy by analyzing the distribution of wind speeds and calculating important factors such as the average wind speed, Weibull shape factor, and scale parameter. We used advanced statistical analysis to examine the regional and temporal variations of wind energy resources of Chattogram. The findings from this study enhance comprehension of the practicality and profitability of wind energy projects in the coastal areas by enabling wellinformed decision-making for sustainable energy development efforts in Bangladesh.

Keywords

Wind energy Weibull distribution Rayleigh distribution Chattogram

Publication Details

  • Type of Publication: Conference 
  • Conference Name: Undergraduate Conference on Intelligent Computing and Systems (UCICS)
  • Date of Conference: 26/02/2025 - 27/02/2025
  • Venue: Varendra University, Rajshahi, Bangladesh
  • Organizer: Varendra University, Rajshahi, Bangladesh
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